Ratings2Win Education Article

Which of the following punters betting performance will lead to the largest increase of betting bank growth?

Punter A – 10% profit on turnover; or

Punter B – 25% profit on turnover

Most would answer Punter B without considering the additional information that you need to be able to make an informed decision.

Now we are provided with the following information:

Bank Bets Average Bet Size Outlay POT % Profit $
Punter A $ 10,000 700 $ 200 $ 140,000 10% $ 14,000
Punter B $ 10,000 200 $ 200 $ 40,000 25% $ 10,000

 

So what is the correct question and answer?

How much money did each punter make?

From the above table we quickly learn that the most important answer to this type of question is to know the actual dollars profit made not what the POT % is.

Measure your betting success by focusing on betting bank growth

The formula for calculating your betting bank growth ratio is:

Your Profit $ / Starting Bank $ = Betting Bank Growth Ratio

So referencing the above table you will be able to calculate that:

Punter A – $14,000 profit that is equal to a ratio of 1.4 x growth

Punter B – $10,000 profit that is equal to a ratio of 1.0 x growth

Using this method of measuring your betting success highlights that Punter A is more successful by generating $4,000 or 40% more profit than Punter B.

Key points:

  • Focus on betting bank growth as the correct measure of your betting success and;
  • Understand that an effective betting strategy is one that delivers a balance between the volume of bets you have and your betting edge over the marketplace (your expected profit on each dollar wagered).